This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card at Russia. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to acquire a lot of cash from this week considering it’s a smaller card and begins at 10:15am ET. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of $100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first place price and $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 entries that match. I will try to get my 2nd and 3rd seats this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers so be cautious chasing those too hard. I’ll probably stick to the top GPP this week and then toss 100 or so entries at the $25k decoration, then I will likely take a couple shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a good amount of play into money games.
With that said, let us get into a couple plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Roxanne Modafferi — $6,900
I really don’t think there are any money locks nowadays, so I wanted to bring a cash plan I use a great deal of the moment, which can be punting in cash and accepting a reduction. I really don’t think Roxy gets the win , but she’s just $6.9k and that I believe she receives 15-minutes of actions. I like the flooring which accompanies this and punting along with her cheap cost enables us to fit in a lot of those favorites that are higher with our other five spots. We don’t need 6 wins in money games, so I don’t think we will need to try for it. I enjoy playing cash games if I can lock in 25-35 points at a loss from Roxy at her cheap price I’m totally ok with that. I always look for 4 wins in cash and over 350-400 DK points. That is my goal every week. Let everybody else make the errors and only shoot for a score which can conquer 50% or more of this area.
GPP play of the week — Alistair Overeem — $8,900
This really is an all-in fight for GPPs in my opinion and I like Overeem as one of my top plays of the week. Oleinik took this fight on short notice so I would be shocked to see this go all 5 rounds. I also think Overeem will be too quick for him to get takedowns, and Overeem is amounts before him in the game that is spectacular. The only shooter Oleinik has of winning on the toes is by landing a haymaker and knocking Overeem out. Or, get a standing entry. Other than those two outcomes, Overeem will smoke on the feet. In addition, I believe Overeem will work his way back to his feet if he is removed and the more Oleinik shoots takedowns the quicker he will gas outside. I like the -175 ITD line that comes with Overeem here and I believe he gets a finish in around 2 or 1. That should give us near 100 DK points or even more, and I want that in lots of my own GPP lineups.
Underdog play of the week — Rafael Fiziev — $7,700
Fiziev is no longer the underdog on the gambling line (-120) however DraftKings salaries do not change as soon as they are released. We get Fiziev here for 800 cheaper than Mustafaev and he’s favored to get the win. I was very impressed by what I saw from this child and that I concur with all the line motion. I do think he has the win here, but it is the DK value that we would like to be sure to find exposure to this weekend. I believe he’s a great play in cash games with the current value and that I hope to be obese on him in GPPs as well. We have to roster underdogs in our lineups and if we can use a popular as one of these»underdogs» then I am usually on board for that.
Fade of the week — Antonina Shevchenko ($9,300)
Antonina Shevchenko is my fade of the week for her $9.3k price label. I really do think she has the win here since I mentioned earlier, I simply don’t see how she’ll pay off that salary with no finish. I don’t see her shooting any takedowns in this game, and I don’t wish to rely on her obtaining knockdown points . So, we’re only going to be receiving 0.5 points each significant attack, and the 30-point win bonus if she wins a decision. If this is the case, we’d need her to land over 126 sig strikes simply to get more than 10x worth. I really don’t see that being true and that I believe she likely scores 80-85 DK points at a decision win. At her salary, that will not win anyone the big $25k. That’s the prize I am shooting so that is why she is my fade of the week.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight about the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all my pick predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link too. I am 69-41 for +237.39u (+$23,739) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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